Вероятности на Залозите на Покер

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прегледа

З

а да изчислите вероятността в покер не е нужно да е дипломиран математик. Изчисляванто на вероятността на покер е разделено на три части:
 
  1. Hand odds
  2. Pot odds
  3. Implicit odds
Чрез изчисляване на Hand odds в покера получавате информация какви са шансовете ви да извлечете карти, за да получите комбинацията, с която можете да вземете пота. Само по себе си този факт не е толкова важен.
 
Обаче когато на този елемент данни се добави съотношението между размера на пота и парите, които ние трябва инвестираме, за да останем в играта, можем да получим информация, която ни казва дали инвестицията ще си струва в дългосрочен план, с комбинацията, която имаме Pot odds (коефициенти на вероятностите в покер).
 
За да се изчислим точно Pot odds трябва да включим в него и парите, които ние приемаме, че ще бъдат инвестирани в следващите кръгове на залагане (Implicit odds). Сега нека да разгледаме най-простият пример за изчисляване на вероятността. Двама приятели искат да се обзаложат като хвърлят монета. Този, който хвърля монетата казва на приятеля си, че един лев залог ще се плаща два. Изчислете сега вероятността за този прост пример. Шансовете за един от тях монетата да се обръне към желаната страна е 50%, или 1: 1. Съотношението на залога и печалбата е 1: 1. Статистически погледнато имат равни шансове да спечелят. В дългосрочен план, ако нямате късмет, вие и вашия опонент след един час ще имате същата сума пари, с която сте започнали играта. В дългосрочен план погледнато, в 100 последователни хвърляния на монета, трябва да спечелите 33 пъти, за да завършите на нула. От примера можем да заключим, че може да печелите пари само ако познавате вероятностите, във всеки друг случай само с късмет.
 
След като се запознахме с практическото прилагане на вероятностите е време, за да научим как познаването на вероятността може да се използва в покера. Първата стъпка е да се научите как се изчислява.
 
В покера вероятността за всяка ръка от 5 карти може да бъде изчислена, като се изчисли делът на ръцете от този тип сред всички възможни ръце.
 
Броят на възможните комбинации при раздаване на 5 от 52 карти за игра в покера е: 2,598,960.
 
Броят на възможните комбинации при разиграванията е показан в таблицата долу:
Брой на възможните комбинации в покера
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